Friday, April 24, 2009

Can GOP Win Back the House in 2010?

I do not believe that Republicans will gain enough seats to take back control of the House during the midterm election like many of top Republicans are claiming they can do. The problem for Republicans is that Democrats haven't done much to reduce their favor with the public and so any messaging that Republicans can throw out there tend to leave a negative taste in people's mouths. The advantages that they had in communication strategies that made them so good during the last decade seem have faded away. They can offer visions of change and point out differences between themselves and Democrats, but until we see some of the effects of the policies implemented by the Democratic Congress it is going to be extremely difficult to change public opinion. On a smaller scale there definitely are races to be won with improved candidates and better run campaigns. In the districts that voted for Senator McCain for President, Republicans really have to show some party alignment and polarization between their incumbents and the Obama administration to take back those seats. However, in the overall scheme of things Democrats seem to be locked for at least another four years and that may not be such a bad thing for Republicans if they can rebuild and restructure themselves during that timeframe.

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