Monday, February 14, 2011
Here's Nate Silver's analysis of the 2012 Republican Presidential field. His basic argument is that the potential Republican nominees for 2012 are less popular than any field of candidates in either party since at least the 2000 elections. For me, his analysis illustrates two things. One, that Obama is going to be very difficult to beat, and two, that a dark horse candidate could end up winning the nomination. Huckabee and Romney have pretty large name recognition but fail to garner high favorability ratings. If one of the lesser known candidates (Thune, Daniels, T-Paw, DeMint or Barbour) could increase their name recognition and favorability at the same time, they could potentially win the nomination. This fails to take into account a lot of other factors, but its still pretty interesting to look at. What does everyone else think?