Thursday, February 24, 2011
I know, I know. It is Fox News. Still, I am very interested to see what will happen in the coming weeks in terms of a Government shutdown. I have seen several arguments about why the Democrats will come out on top, but this article (predictably) argues that Republicans will come out ahead. Essentially, Stirewalt argues that things are much different now than they were in 1995. He argues that "A divided-congress, a mild-mannered Republican speaker, a competitive media environment and public concern over debt all add up to a tougher envrionment for Democrats to profit politically from a shutdown." It seems to me that if Obama and the Democrats do not get more vocal and aggressive about why the Government is shutting down, and instead just continue to lie down before the Republicans, the Republicans will have a VERY good shot of coming out ahead politically. On the other hand if Democrats control the message, the Republicans will be blamed. Given recent history though, I just do not see that happening.