Monday, November 16, 2009

Setting the record straight on Scozzafava

Moderate she is not.

5 comments:

Evan said...

FiveThirtyEight disagrees.

Adding, this sort of thing is relative.

Lachlan said...

Just curious, does that mean that 40-some-odd Democratic members of the NY legislature are also 'to the right' by New York standards, or does it just indicate differences in their analyses and ACU's?

Evan said...

My understanding of it is, there's a question over what the "New York center" is compared to other forms of centrism, say, on a national scale--or, compared to centrism in, say, Mississippi.

Lachlan said...

Right but if ACU tracked her voting record as left of over 40 Democrats in the the state assembly, does that mean those 40-some-odd members are right of center by New York standards? Or does it just indicate differences in the methods of ACU's and 538's regressions?

Evan said...

It might mean that you've got 40 right-of-center Democrats...There are certainly differences in the rating system used. The ACU might not have scored some votes at all, or may have scored some votes as liberal that FiveThirtyEight scored as conservative.

I think it's one of those cases where you see what you want in it. ACU obviously has an interest in portrying Scozzafava as not conservative. I'm not sure if 538 has a rooting interest, but...who knows? Thought a little added perspective would be good, though.